
Originally Posted by
Master Pandemonium
The PAC had a horrible contract for years, and I agree, the redundancy in the PAC was terrible. In fact, the redundancy is bad in the ACC as well...4 NC schools, and that's one of the reasons the ACC's contract sucks ****.
But, back to the PAC, there are some differences between the redundancy of the PAC and the Big 12. The states have larger populations, thus easier to justify multiple universities from the same state. Arizona AND Arizona State makes more sense than Kansas AND Kansas State. The states are also wealthier, and thus more valuable to advertisers. The PAC has also expanded, without trading off any territory, going to 12 teams from 6 states. And, the PAC has a visionary commissioner who has found a way to maximize the value of the conference through innovation and cogent planning. Having said that, yeah, the PAC would benefit from expelling Washington State and Oregon State and replacing them with any programs not from current states (it's hard to separate the CA programs and the AZ programs...WSU and OR ST, on the other hand, worthless). Those two programs are deadweights, dragging the PAC down. The problem is, again, the Big 12 has more than 2 programs like Washington State and Oregon State...the Big 12 has about 5 like that, with a smaller overall population base.
If you were to match up every state in the Big 12, with every state in the PAC--CA vs. TX, WA vs. OK, CO vs. KS, AZ vs. IA, OR vs. WV, and Utah vs. no 6th state...PAC wins every population battle.
Local interest comes and goes. That's why how hot a program is now vs. how hot a program is not right now is not as important as potential. Which university will bring more ratings and viewers (and thus revenue) in 2013 if they go 10-2 in 2012: CU, or KSU? CU would. Which is what TV networks care about when they are planning financial packages to conference members. CU could go 0-12 for ten straight years...and they would still have more potential market value than KSU going 11-1 for ten straight years (if a team actually wins a national title, all bets are off...but KSU, OSU, Baylor, Tech, aren't going to ever win a national title). At some point, CU will get its **** together and be semi-respectable (particularly with the avalanche of PAC network money coming in). At some point, Snyder will retire. And then, which football program is more valuable?
So yes, kick out OSU, KSU, ISU, and Baylor. And maybe Tech. Is that realistic? No. But it would have saved the core of the conference. If the Big 12 was OU, UT, NU, A&M, CU, Mizzou, KU + WVU, TCU, Louisville, BYU, and for poops and giggles, South Florida...that conference would stay together. Make a LOT of money, for everyone. Every university provides a novel market that, if removed from the conference, would harm the conference's overall value.
No raid of the ACC, no waiting on Notre Dame to join a conference, no pie in the sky conversion of Arkansas....12 programs from 10 states, including a strong footprint in the 2nd largest state in the Union and a soft footprint in the 3rd largest state in the Union. Maybe, *maybe* if the Big 12 expanded to 16 some years ago, adding BYU, Louisville, WVU, and USF...*maybe* that 16 team conference could have survived, even with the deadweight, and the reprehensible blasphemy known as the break up of OU/NU/CU/Mizzou could have been averted.