
Originally Posted by
Hamilton
Unfortunately, for me, I was being pretty objective.
It may be practically over within the next 2 hours.
If Vanderbilt doesn't cover 6x vs NC St, I can't make up the 2 games. I don't think.
(edit - Vandy currently up 31-14).
We have 4 of 5 identical picks on the remaining auto picks (bowls).
So really, only comparing me and thurman, those 4 picks are completely irrelevant.
I don't know if we could fall below the others or not. I only crunched the numbers between thurman and I.
Florida-Louisville we have different picks.
So even if I win that matchup vs thurman, I still need to make up one more game.
And then if we tie in the win column, I would need him to lose one more than me (because I have one more push).
So I can only win by tying in the win column and him having one more loss.
He's 4-4 as we sit, I am 3-6. Let's say we both win all 4 of those bowl picks that we share.
I am still 2 games out in the Win column. And I've only got two more games to make up those 2 games.
Whereas he has 3 left, 2 of which are unique (the FLA-Louisville bowl I would obviously need to win in any scenario).
In other words, I need Vandy and Florida to cover, plus I would need thurman to lose both:
Northwestern +2.5
LSU/Clemson UNDER 59
And if I figured it right, that's the only scenario where I would win. Thanks Dook.