Severe Weather Vol 2-Featuring SATP

Posted 1094 day(s) ago by KCRuf/Nek759603 Views 13044 Replies
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  1. #51
    McRib's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by soonerdm View Post
    Leave the girlfriend at home with me and I'll tell you her odds of getting wet.... 100%
    Well done.
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  2. #52
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    Originally Posted by soonerdm View Post
    Leave the girlfriend at home with me and I'll tell you her odds of getting wet.... 100%
    She is staying here. Good luck!

  3. #53
    Originally Posted by McRib View Post
    Well done.
    yes, most of the time dm's schtick is predictably predictable, but this one made me lol.
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  4. #54
    Originally Posted by SoonerAmongThePack View Post


    SPC Slight Risk for tomorrow; threat for supercells with large hail and isolated tornado just W of I-35 along the dryline tomorrow afternoon. Storms that fire there may congeal into a forward moving MCS through NE OK tomorrow.

    So OKC peeps, eyes to the sky for spring time fun of the tornado variety, and Tulsa...more of a damaging wind/large hail threat.

    If I were chasing, I'd be somewhere in this black circle after lunch tomorrow.

    Well, time to get the shelter cleaned out!

  5. #55
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    Originally Posted by soonerdm View Post
    Leave the girlfriend at home with me and I'll tell you her odds of getting wet.... 100%
    winner
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  6. #56
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    Yeesh, don't like where that black circle is drawn on the dew point map.
    Originally Posted by SoonerAmongThePack View Post


    SPC Slight Risk for tomorrow; threat for supercells with large hail and isolated tornado just W of I-35 along the dryline tomorrow afternoon. Storms that fire there may congeal into a forward moving MCS through NE OK tomorrow.

    So OKC peeps, eyes to the sky for spring time fun of the tornado variety, and Tulsa...more of a damaging wind/large hail threat.

    If I were chasing, I'd be somewhere in this black circle after lunch tomorrow.


  7. #57
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    IMHO - the weather is not hot enough for a big ol' nasty nader

  8. #58
    Originally Posted by SoonerAmongThePack View Post


    SPC Slight Risk for tomorrow; threat for supercells with large hail and isolated tornado just W of I-35 along the dryline tomorrow afternoon. Storms that fire there may congeal into a forward moving MCS through NE OK tomorrow.

    So OKC peeps, eyes to the sky for spring time fun of the tornado variety, and Tulsa...more of a damaging wind/large hail threat.

    If I were chasing, I'd be somewhere in this black circle after lunch tomorrow.

    I was in Mexico this past week talking to some folks from the NE about OKC and tornadoes and what not. And I tell them I follow all these weather blogs and boards. And really, it's just that I want to see what SATP is going to post next. Thanks again for your input.

    IMHO - the weather is not hot enough for a big ol' nasty nader
    I thought I saw where it is going to approach 90 tomorrow west of the metro ...
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  9. #59
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    Originally Posted by Wailer View Post
    yes, most of the time dm's schtick is predictably predictable, but this one made me lol.
    I walked right into that one. Never saw it coming.
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  10. #60
    Originally Posted by StroudSooner View Post
    IMHO - the weather is not hot enough for a big ol' nasty nader
    Mid-80's tomorrow. Plenty warm.

  11. #61
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    For my fellow Tulsa area posters.

  12. #62
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    I have an app that let's you follow chasers and watch their stream. Might be interesting.

  13. #63
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    Originally Posted by McRib View Post
    I have an app that let's you follow chasers and watch their stream. Might be interesting.
    Gross.

  14. #64
    Originally Posted by McRib View Post
    I have an app that let's you follow chasers and watch their stream. Might be interesting.
    Reed Timmer's app? I downloaded it today, too.
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  15. #65
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    Originally Posted by Stinger_1066 View Post
    Hey SATP, what is the outlook for Sunday afternoon in the area between Ft. Worth and Denton, TX? I plan to be at the NASCAR race at Texas Motor Speedway. I'd like to know that odds of me getting wet and the race being delayed. TIA.
    Glancing at the European model, rain seems possible Sunday overnight and scattered Sunday afternoon. Not a rain out right now, but bears watching.
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  16. #66
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    Originally Posted by StroudSooner View Post
    IMHO - the weather is not hot enough for a big ol' nasty nader
    If dewpoints get into the lower 60s as forecast, then yes, there could be a nasty one. Dewpoint depressions under 10 (which means temps in the lower 70s) is actually getting into the sweet spot for tornadogenesis.

  17. #67
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    Originally Posted by IndySooner View Post
    Reed Timmer's app? I downloaded it today, too.
    Maybe... It's called TVNweather Live Chasing. Looks like this:



  18. #68
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    Worth noting the HRRR is breaking out at least 2 supercells late this afternoon and this evening...one near Ardmore before sunset and one just south of the Red River this evening. There's a question as to whether or not any storms will form today. Will be interesting to see if this ends up being right.

    Y'all might remember how well the HRRR did last severe weather season.

  19. #69
    Originally Posted by McRib View Post
    Maybe... It's called TVNweather Live Chasing. Looks like this:


    Yup. That's Reed's.
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  20. #70
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    Originally Posted by IndySooner View Post
    Yup. That's Reed's.
    Cool beans. I like it.

  21. #71
    Just downloaded this. Thanks guys.

  22. #72
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    Originally Posted by McRib View Post
    Maybe... It's called TVNweather Live Chasing. Looks like this:


    Have you ever heard of Show SirPrize Your Boobs app?

  23. #73
    Weather Watch Oklahoma
    14 mins ·

    Severe Weather Update: Wednesday.. Models are coming together for a possible large scale event starting tomorrow late afternoon. The trend is towards a moderate risk for a good portion of the state including OKC and TULSA. I would like for the next data set to come in before trying to give specifics. The primary risk is going to be large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes as we get closer to evening time. The map is the latest forecast from The Storm Prediction Center concerning tomorrow's event this might change slightly with the next update as better data comes in. Be weather aware Wednesday. ~ Mike

  24. #74
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    Originally Posted by Stinger_1066 View Post
    They have drugs for that.
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  25. #75
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    Hmm.....KOTV's map here is showing what I think is a high risk tomorrow. .

  26. #76
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    They're making these scary maps but they all say "low risk". Should I sell my soul to the devil or wait until tomorrow?

  27. #77
    Originally Posted by OUDoc View Post
    They're making these scary maps but they all say "low risk". Should I sell my soul to the devil or wait until tomorrow?
    **** it. Sell your soul. What can it hurt?

  28. #78
    McRib's Avatar
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    Originally Posted by SirPrize View Post
    Have you ever heard of Show SirPrize Your Boobs app?
    I have not.

  29. #79
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    Originally Posted by McRib View Post
    I have not.
    I'll come over and show you. A tuitorial is required. You'll have to download the app from me.

  30. #80
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    I have never seen a tornado in real life. I've always wanted to "see" one and not experience one. There is such beauty in them....but like a poster said above...can't we just keep them fenced up?

  31. #81
    SoonerDan74012's Avatar
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    Wait for the sparkly tie before you decide.
    Originally Posted by OUDoc View Post
    They're making these scary maps but they all say "low risk". Should I sell my soul to the devil or wait until tomorrow?

  32. #82
    Lot's of chaser vehicles were heading south of Lawton on I44.....

    I think I saw channel 4's armored vehicle "The Beast"....at least I think that is what it said on the side....

  33. #83
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    Originally Posted by pphilfran View Post
    Lot's of chaser vehicles were heading south of Lawton on I44.....

    I think I saw channel 4's armored vehicle "The Beast"....at least I think that is what it said on the side....
    Could there be any other?

  34. #84
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    Originally Posted by nolesooner View Post
    I have never seen a tornado in real life. I've always wanted to "see" one and not experience one. There is such beauty in them....but like a poster said above...can't we just keep them fenced up?
    Do you get waterspouts where you live? I once saw three side-by-side off the coast of Galveston. That was impressive. Was not raining at all where I was standing. It lasted only about 30 seconds and then they all disintegrated, I assume due to the weight of the water.

    Living in Oklahoma I've seen four tornadoes without having to go look for them. I was just in the right place at the right time.

  35. #85
    Originally Posted by Stinger_1066 View Post
    Could there be any other?
    I didn't know they had one....

    Channel 7 in Lawton has one called "The ****"
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  36. #86
    Is Reed the dominator2. Being able to hear and see their video is awesome.
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  37. #87
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    Originally Posted by McRib View Post
    They are beautiful and wondrous in a an open field where nothing and no one is in danger, I agree. Why can't we just fence them in?!!
    Racist.
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  38. #88
    Originally Posted by McRib View Post
    They are beautiful and wondrous...
    I thought you were going off topic for a second.

  39. #89
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    Originally Posted by nolesooner View Post
    I have never seen a tornado in real life. I've always wanted to "see" one and not experience one. There is such beauty in them....but like a poster said above...can't we just keep them fenced up?
    The night of May 19 last year I said the same thing.
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  40. #90
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    Originally Posted by pphilfran View Post
    Lot's of chaser vehicles were heading south of Lawton on I44.....

    I think I saw channel 4's armored vehicle "The Beast"....at least I think that is what it said on the side....
    There's a storm just north of Abilene headed northeast.

  41. #91
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    Severe Weather Vol 2-Oklahoma Edition

    Originally Posted by bushmaster06 View Post
    There's a storm just north of Abilene headed northeast.

    Cool graphic of it.

  42. #92
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    Yes Coach... Reed is Dominator 2.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

  43. #93
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    Originally Posted by McRib View Post
    Maybe... It's called TVNweather Live Chasing. Looks like this:

    No Aaron Tuttle? This can't be real...
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  44. #94
    Cigars- Check
    Booze- Check
    Food- Check
    Guns- Check

    Bring on the tornadoes!
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  45. #95
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    .......CONVECTIVE COVERAGE REMAINS THE BIG QUESTION. LARGE
    SCALE MODELS HINT AT PERHAPS A LINE OF DISCRETE SUPERCELLS FROM
    WEST CENTRAL THROUGH NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...WHILE HIGH-RES SOLUTIONS
    POINT TO A MUCH MORE ISOLATED SCENARIO WITH ONLY ONE OR TWO
    STORMS. EITHER WAY...IT ONLY TAKES ONE STORM IN THE WRONG PLACE TO
    MAKE A MAJOR IMPACT...SO TODAY WILL BE ONE WORTH WATCHING.

    SHOULD STORMS FIRE...THEY WILL BECOME SEVERE RAPIDLY WITH IMPRESSIVE
    INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR. VERY LARGE HAIL ON THE ORDER OF TENNIS
    BALL TO BASEBALL SIZE AND WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH WILL BE COMMON WITH
    ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP. THERE WILL ALSO BE A WINDOW OF
    OPPORTUNITY IN THE 6 PM TO 9 PM TIMEFRAME FOR A COUPLE OF
    TORNADOES FROM MAINLY CENTRAL THROUGH NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.

    HOWEVER...THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE HAIL AND WINDS.
    STORMS SHOULD DECREASE IN INTENSITY HEADING INTO THE NIGHT...BUT
    OTHER STORMS MAY DEVELOP IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET.
    THIS COMBINED WITH APPRECIABLE ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL KEEP A
    THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS INTO THE NIGHT...THOUGH THE TORNADO THREAT
    WILL DIMINISH LATE IN THE EVENING

    http://forecast.weather.gov/product....n=1&glossary=1

  46. #96
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    Severe Weather Vol 2-Featuring SATP

    [email protected]: Another round of severe weather is anticipated Thursday afternoon and evening. Have a plan if severe weather strikes. http://twitter.com/NWStulsa/status/4...346/photo/1”
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  47. #97
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    Feels pretty creepy today.

  48. #98
    Originally Posted by SoonerAmongThePack View Post
    If dewpoints get into the lower 60s as forecast, then yes, there could be a nasty one. Dewpoint depressions under 10 (which means temps in the lower 70s) is actually getting into the sweet spot for tornadogenesis.
    One of the best words ever, I should be able to fit it into a few conversations today.
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  49. #99
    So it seems like from most sources it won't be too bad today. Even channel five wasn't too excited. But reed thinks it's going to be really bad. Is this mike rubbing off on him?


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  50. #100
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    All about the dryline position and orientation today kiddos; how far east it mixes and how sharp it is will determine who has a shot at seeing some springtime fun.

    The HRRR doesn't look too ominous for Oklahoma; it doesn't sharpen the dryline very much. It tries to fire storms off near the metro around 6-7pm before backing the dryline up. It's actually got one robust supercell hanging out around the Red River near sunset but not much else. The NAM keeps the dryline back over Western Oklahoma. makes it much sharper, and surges the dewpoints into the upper 60s over the metro which would spell trouble if any storms form.

    The sharper the dryline (bigger change in dewpoint) the stronger the winds on either side, which will aid storms in forming.

    For now, I'd say look for one or two storms, one of which might take hold and pose a threat, starting somewhere west of I-35. Really could be anywhere from the KS to TX border. They'd move toward the NE. By lunch time or so, we'll have a better handle on how things will play out. Certainly stay weather aware, but we're not looking at an outbreak or anything right now.

    Tulsa peeps: If you get anything it'll be after dark. RIght now, potent setup for tomorrow is expected just to your east, but it's possible that risk area will shift back to the west if the dryline decides to hang out farther west in Western Oklahoma today. So that bears watching.

    Instability is pretty high:


    Simulated radar has a big momma trolling around the Red River

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