we had freezing temps last year up until first week in may....
the winters have been trending colder/longer for several years...
scientists say the trend could continue 2 more decades......due to sun cycles....
they say it could lead to one of the coldest periods on earth in the last 1200 years....
Winter is coming. Maybe we should have went ahead and built that wall up north.
Very light snow in NW Norman
The light dusting here in Enid has already melted away. Goodbye, Winter.
Such BS! This time of year sucks!
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So I have been assigned to Greensburg, KS. This place is a trip. I am sure some of you know but in 2007 this place was leveled by an F5. They have rebuilt and it is the coolest tiny town I have ever been.
There is a Sun Chips company incubator here haha.
Banging in OKC!
Oh and we got about an inch of snow last night. I am the only landman here it is gonna be lonely Monday thru Friday.
Banging in OKC!
I was board to death. No internet, no ESPN, no sports talk radio and very few sports fans. And a 55mph speed limit.
They had piles of snow in early May.
How many passwords has barlowd stolen so far?
Will this coldness at least mean some of those **** wasps that were showing up near the eaves of my house will die? Cuz that would be nice.
I did a lot of reading and learned to have a pretty low maintenance style of life.
They didn't have ESPN in the early 2000's.
They say we may have bad storms next Sunday?
But there were a few times when I drove over to Pratt to watch OU play a basketball game, if I could get away from work.
It sure seems like one extreme is followed by another extreme.
But our extremes lately seem to be at or near record breaking levels.....
I hope not, but it probably means were going to see big tornadoes somewhere in the next 7 weeks...?
For all you global warming deniers, the arctic mean temp has been something like 4 deg C warmer than typical this last winter, which removes the natural blocking high effect of arctic air, which allows the jet stream to dig higher north, grab packets of air that's colder than we're used to, and throw it way down south. Basically the jet stream is far more wiggly than usual (wiggly being the professional, academic term).
Or this is all bullshiat, all I know is that I missed minus-45 deg temps in Edmonton by about three days and I'm happy, and alive, about that.
I grow tomato plants.
Have done it for years. I really enjoy the flavor of homegrown tomatoes.
And its never easy deciding when to plant. Never has been , never will be. Date of average last freeze = April 10 , but that's pretty much meaningless. Its always iffy as to when to put my plants in the ground.
This year is no different.
Been this way, for as long as I can remember, and I'm gettin to be a real old fart.
this year i haven't even bought them yet.....
only thing planted is broccoli and potatoes ....
not real excited about gardening...
And actually, you can feel free to plant your tomato plants, at any time.
As of the last freeze, you are safe to plant.
Which is the way it is , just about every year.
For next Wednesday and or Thursday
SPC Day 4-8 Discussion on the Weds/Thurs threat...
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0331 AM CDT FRI APR 18 2014
VALID 211200Z - 261200Z
EARLY IN THE MEDIUM-RANGE PERIOD BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN
GENERAL AGREEMENT REGARDING THE MOVEMENT OF LOW-LATITUDE SHORT-WAVE
TROUGH AS IT SHIFTS EAST OF THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
25-35KT NW H5 FLOW ON BACK SIDE-BASE OF THIS FEATURE WILL ENHANCE
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR COINCIDENT WITH MODEST INSTABILITY. STRONG HEATING
WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY OF TX AND DAYTIME
HEATING COULD PROVE INSTRUMENTAL IN A FEW SUPERCELLS IN THE WAKE OF
SHORT WAVE. GIVEN THAT THIS ACTIVITY WOULD EVOLVE WITHIN A BROADER
ZONE OF LESS THAN FAVORABLE LARGE-SCALE ASCENT...COVERAGE SHOULD BE
INADEQUATE TO WARRANT 30 PERCENT SEVERE PROBS DURING THE DAY4
LATER IN THE WEEK MODEL SOLUTIONS BEGIN TO DIVERGE A BIT AS
LARGE-SCALE PATTERN CHANGES. ECMWF IS CONSIDERABLY FASTER THAN THE
GFS ALLOWING A STRONG SHORT-WAVE TROUGH TO TRANSLATE INTO THE
ROCKIES BY WEDNESDAY. DIFLUENT FLOW ALOFT AND STRENGTHENING SHEAR
PROFILES WOULD PROVE POTENTIALLY FAVORABLE FOR A PLAINS SEVERE
HOWEVER...GFS DOES NOT EJECT THIS FEATURE UNTIL LATER
THURSDAY. EITHER OF THESE SOLUTIONS COULD GENERATE A POTENTIALLY
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE EVENT BUT TIMING DIFFERENCES PREVENT DELINEATING
AN ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT THIS PERIOD.
Why can't they say tornado?
I should do the weather, I would simply say " Grab your ****ing ass on Thursday folks, shit's goin' down!". How hard would that be?
Only if you wear a sparkly tie.
When it comes to tomatoes, the earlier , the better. I want my plants producing before the hot weather of July shuts them down. There's a narrow window when its optimum for setting fruit, and the longer I can be in that window, the more tomatoes I get.
Thinkin bout investing in row cover, so I can gamble and plant in early to mid March, and really get a jump on the production end.
If anyone needs plants, I got leftovers. I grow mine from seed and I always grow twice as many as I can plant.
I've got an heirloom variety , Brandywine. And hybrid varieties Big Beef and Early Girl. I also have two cherry varieties, Black Cherry and Sun Gold.
I hate to just throw these away, so if anyone near far south OKC wants some plants ....... well, pm me.
That looks like fun.
Western Oklahoma could see tornadoes on Wednesday.
Saturday is looking like it could be an interesting weather day (perhaps very significant) for Oklahoma.
It would be a good idea to pay attention..... its the peak tornado time of year.
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0345 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2014
VALID 251200Z - 301200Z
...SIGNIFICANT MULTI-DAY SEVERE EVENT EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTH
CENTRAL U.S. SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...STRONG TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE...
22/00Z ECMWF IS EXHIBITING REASONABLE RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY OVER
THE LAST FEW DAYS WITH THE GFS NOW TRENDING TOWARD ECMWF SOLUTIONS.
THIS FORECAST IS HEAVILY WEIGHTED TOWARD THE ECMWF.
EARLIER CONCERNS REGARDING A POLAR FRONT UNDERCUTTING STRONG SWLY
FLOW ALOFT OVER THE SRN PLAINS ARE LESSENING. WHILE UPPER BLOCK
OVER CNTRL CANADA WILL ULTIMATELY FORCE A DOMINANT SFC ANTICYCLONE
INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE CONUS...IT APPEARS THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS
AIR MASS SHOULD STRUGGLE TO ADVANCE MUCH SOUTH OF I-70 OVER KS/MO
STRONG MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX IS FORECAST TO DIG SEWD INTO THE LOWER CO
RIVER VALLEY SATURDAY WITH UPPER DIFLUENCE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
PLAINS AS FAR SOUTH AS WEST TX AT 27/00Z. THIS EVOLUTION WILL ALLOW
SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE TO ADVANCE POLEWARD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS WHERE
PW VALUES SHOULD EASILY APPROACH 1.25 INCHES AS SFC DEW POINTS CLIMB
THROUGH THE MID-UPPER 60S ACROSS A BROAD WARM SECTOR. LATEST
THINKING IS MODERATE-EXTREME INSTABILITY SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG ERN
PLUME OF STEEP LAPSE RATES FROM WCNTRL TX...NWD INTO SCNTRL KS
SATURDAY WHERE MUCAPE COULD APPROACH 4000 J/KG. IF THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT EVOLVES AS LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THEN POTENTIALLY
SIGNIFICANT SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES
CAN BE EXPECTED. CONVECTION SHOULD INITIATE ALONG DRYLINE FROM SWRN
TX...NWD INTO WRN KS SATURDAY THEN REDEVELOP AGAIN SUNDAY FROM SERN
KS...SWD INTO CNTRL TX AS MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX EJECTS INTO THE SRN
PLAINS. SEVERE TSTMS SHOULD SPREAD INTO THE MS VALLEY BY EARLY
MONDAY. ORGANIZED SEVERE MAY CONTINUE INTO THE DAY7 PERIOD BUT
SUBSTANTIAL CONVECTION DURING THE DAY5-6 TIME FRAME COULD
POTENTIALLY DISRUPT THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT...THUS CONFIDENCE IS
NOT AS HIGH.
Where is SoonerAmongThePack? Dude always is on point
Ok, high level view...
Tomorrow: Supercells possible along the dryline in Western OK; hail is primary threat though a tornado can't be ruled out. Storms may congeal into line segements and push east toward the metro late in the evening. Nothing too out of the ordinary for springtime in Oklahoma.
This weekend: WATCH OUT. Serious severe weather event is possible; major energy going to move out of the desert SW and out into the Plains. Localized severe weather outbreak certainly possible, anywhere from Salina southward into Central/Northern Texas.
This event has been hinted at for a few weeks and bounced around. All the forecast models are in pretty good agreement about it; now it's just a matter of where and how widespread/severe.
Glancing at the morning models, Saturday's risk may be more enhanced in Western Oklahoma, and Sunday closer to the metro. Expect the dryline to move out into Western Oklahoma during the afternoon Saturday, retreat, and then move back into the state on Sunday.
So OKC/Central OK really both days, depending on where the dryline sets up. Higher risk for Tulsa on Sunday.