Severe Weather Vol 2-Featuring SATP

Posted 1026 day(s) ago by KCRuf/Nek713378 Views 12860 Replies
Results 251 to 300 of 12861
Page 6 of 258 4 5 6 7 8 16 56 106
  1. #251
    StroudSooner's Avatar
    Posts
    6,857
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
    Location
    OKC

    Originally Posted by Bruno Gianelli View Post
    There is no rhyme or reason why it should be snowing (and pretty strong) in downtown OKC on April 14th
    Thanks Obama
    2 users like StroudSooner's post: Bruno Gianelli, soonerdm


  2. #252
    we had freezing temps last year up until first week in may....
    the winters have been trending colder/longer for several years...
    scientists say the trend could continue 2 more decades......due to sun cycles....
    they say it could lead to one of the coldest periods on earth in the last 1200 years....

  3. #253
    StroudSooner's Avatar
    Posts
    6,857
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
    Location
    OKC

    Originally Posted by 87sooner View Post
    we had freezing temps last year up until first week in may....
    the winters have been trending colder/longer for several years...
    scientists say the trend could continue 2 more decades......due to sun cycles....
    they say it could lead to one of the coldest periods on earth in the last 1200 years....
    but but global warming
    2 users like StroudSooner's post: COLLISON ANGRY, IKILLYOU!


  4. #254
    Mixer!'s Avatar
    Posts
    3,388
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Location
    near Tampa

    IBD
    3 users like Mixer!'s post: hawkdriver, SoonerBeerSnob, StroudSooner


  5. #255
    Winter is coming. Maybe we should have went ahead and built that wall up north.
    The following users like this post: Mixer!


  6. #256
    OU48A's Avatar
    Posts
    24,644
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Location
    Norman

    Very light snow in NW Norman

  7. #257
    Mixer!'s Avatar
    Posts
    3,388
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Location
    near Tampa

    The light dusting here in Enid has already melted away. Goodbye, Winter.

  8. #258
    wendyaveli's Avatar
    Posts
    9,590
    Join Date
    Apr 2011
    Location
    Yukon

    Such BS! This time of year sucks!


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

  9. #259
    metes's Avatar
    Posts
    6,141
    Join Date
    Jan 2012
    Location
    Oklahoma City

    So I have been assigned to Greensburg, KS. This place is a trip. I am sure some of you know but in 2007 this place was leveled by an F5. They have rebuilt and it is the coolest tiny town I have ever been.

    There is a Sun Chips company incubator here haha.


    Banging in OKC!
    2 users like metes's post: McRib, wendyaveli


  10. #260
    metes's Avatar
    Posts
    6,141
    Join Date
    Jan 2012
    Location
    Oklahoma City

    Oh and we got about an inch of snow last night. I am the only landman here it is gonna be lonely Monday thru Friday.


    Banging in OKC!

  11. #261
    bushmaster06's Avatar
    Posts
    30,763
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
    Location
    balls deep

    Originally Posted by 87sooner View Post
    we had freezing temps last year up until first week in may....
    the winters have been trending colder/longer for several years...
    scientists say the trend could continue 2 more decades......due to sun cycles....
    they say it could lead to one of the coldest periods on earth in the last 1200 years....
    obviously not the same scientists who say the earth is warming at an alarming rate.

  12. #262
    OU48A's Avatar
    Posts
    24,644
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Location
    Norman

    Originally Posted by metes View Post
    So I have been assigned to Greensburg, KS. This place is a trip. I am sure some of you know but in 2007 this place was leveled by an F5. They have rebuilt and it is the coolest tiny town I have ever been.

    There is a Sun Chips company incubator here haha.


    Banging in OKC!
    I live in Geeensburg for about 2 years in the early 80's and long before any sane person would call it cool.
    I was board to death. No internet, no ESPN, no sports talk radio and very few sports fans. And a 55mph speed limit.
    They had piles of snow in early May.

  13. #263
    Originally Posted by OU48A View Post
    I was board to death.

    They beat ya with a 2 x 4, eh?
    2 users like NickDangerThirdEye's post: Mahler, Stinger_1066


  14. #264
    Mixer!'s Avatar
    Posts
    3,388
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Location
    near Tampa

    How many passwords has barlowd stolen so far?

  15. #265
    Originally Posted by pphilfran View Post
    Since I brought up rain makers....

    Back in the early 70's Lawton was in a terrible drought....the two Lawton lakes were quickly drying up....so Lawton hired some guy names Krick (something like that) to set up a rainmaking system....

    Prior to rain making operation Lake Lawtonka was so low they decided to dredge the slew where the main boat launch was located...hell, it was dry so it damn sure was the time to do the job...at the time I was waterskiing on a daily basis and there spots in the middle of the lake where I could stand on bottom...

    Next thing you know it starts raining on a regular basis....heavy rain...the lake starts to fill...the dredging equipment was in danger of being flooded so they built a damn at the entrance of the slew....

    And it rains more...and more.....and more...so much so they were questioning the integrity of the damn....

    The city ended up terminating the rainmaking contract early.....


  16. #266
    Will this coldness at least mean some of those **** wasps that were showing up near the eaves of my house will die? Cuz that would be nice.

  17. #267
    OU48A's Avatar
    Posts
    24,644
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Location
    Norman

    Originally Posted by NickDangerThirdEye View Post
    They beat ya with a 2 x 4, eh?
    LOL yep I was bored. I could have have thrown a rock and hit the lumber yard from where I lived.
    I did a lot of reading and learned to have a pretty low maintenance style of life.
    They didn't have ESPN in the early 2000's.

  18. #268
    OU48A's Avatar
    Posts
    24,644
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Location
    Norman

    They say we may have bad storms next Sunday?

  19. #269
    wendyaveli's Avatar
    Posts
    9,590
    Join Date
    Apr 2011
    Location
    Yukon



    Sorry. Couldn't resist. Pervy


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    3 users like wendyaveli's post: COLLISON ANGRY, IKILLYOU!, SoonerBeerSnob


  20. #270
    Originally Posted by OU48A View Post
    LOL yep I was bored. I could have have thrown a rock and hit the lumber yard from where I lived.
    I did a lot of reading and learned to have a pretty low maintenance style of life.
    They didn't have ESPN in the early 2000's.
    Could you have had a satellite dish?

  21. #271
    OU48A's Avatar
    Posts
    24,644
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Location
    Norman

    Originally Posted by NickDangerThirdEye View Post
    Could you have had a satellite dish?
    There were very few satellite dishes in the entire area. They were still pretty expensive and I was renting an upstairs loft. I was about 23 and very single at the time. I figured that buying shares of stocks like Exxon, WMT and MOB was the more responsible purchase at that age.
    But there were a few times when I drove over to Pratt to watch OU play a basketball game, if I could get away from work.

  22. #272
    2 users like ThievingMagpie's post: bushmaster06, OU48A


  23. #273
    OU48A's Avatar
    Posts
    24,644
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Location
    Norman

    It sure seems like one extreme is followed by another extreme.
    But our extremes lately seem to be at or near record breaking levels.....
    I hope not, but it probably means were going to see big tornadoes somewhere in the next 7 weeks...?

  24. #274
    The following users like this post: OUMallen


  25. #275
    krypton's Avatar
    Posts
    2,305
    Join Date
    May 2013
    Location
    Houston

    For all you global warming deniers, the arctic mean temp has been something like 4 deg C warmer than typical this last winter, which removes the natural blocking high effect of arctic air, which allows the jet stream to dig higher north, grab packets of air that's colder than we're used to, and throw it way down south. Basically the jet stream is far more wiggly than usual (wiggly being the professional, academic term).

    Or this is all bullshiat, all I know is that I missed minus-45 deg temps in Edmonton by about three days and I'm happy, and alive, about that.
    2 users like krypton's post: IndySooner, McRib


  26. #276
    Originally Posted by krypton View Post
    For all you global warming deniers, the arctic mean temp has been something like 4 deg C warmer than typical this last winter, which removes the natural blocking high effect of arctic air, which allows the jet stream to dig higher north, grab packets of air that's colder than we're used to, and throw it way down south. Basically the jet stream is far more wiggly than usual (wiggly being the professional, academic term).

    Or this is all bullshiat, all I know is that I missed minus-45 deg temps in Edmonton by about three days and I'm happy, and alive, about that.
    I vote bullshit.
    2 users like Hermit's post: CZECHVAR, StroudSooner


  27. #277
    I grow tomato plants.

    Have done it for years. I really enjoy the flavor of homegrown tomatoes.

    And its never easy deciding when to plant. Never has been , never will be. Date of average last freeze = April 10 , but that's pretty much meaningless. Its always iffy as to when to put my plants in the ground.

    This year is no different.

    Been this way, for as long as I can remember, and I'm gettin to be a real old fart.

  28. #278
    Originally Posted by Hermit View Post
    I grow tomato plants.

    Have done it for years. I really enjoy the flavor of homegrown tomatoes.

    And its never easy deciding when to plant. Never has been , never will be. Date of average last freeze = April 10 , but that's pretty much meaningless. Its always iffy as to when to put my plants in the ground.

    This year is no different.

    Been this way, for as long as I can remember, and I'm gettin to be a real old fart.
    i've always planted tomatoes around april 10th.....if a freeze is forecast....i just cover them...
    this year i haven't even bought them yet.....
    only thing planted is broccoli and potatoes ....
    not real excited about gardening...
    weather sux...

  29. #279
    Originally Posted by 87sooner View Post
    i've always planted tomatoes around april 10th.....if a freeze is forecast....i just cover them...
    this year i haven't even bought them yet.....
    only thing planted is broccoli and potatoes ....
    not real excited about gardening...
    weather sux...
    You would

  30. #280
    And actually, you can feel free to plant your tomato plants, at any time.

    As of the last freeze, you are safe to plant.

    Which is the way it is , just about every year.

  31. #281
    Originally Posted by Hermit View Post
    And actually, you can feel free to plant your tomato plants, at any time.

    As of the last freeze, you are safe to plant.

    Which is the way it is , just about every year.
    except last year.....when the last freeze was about may 6thish...

  32. #282
    OU48A's Avatar
    Posts
    24,644
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Location
    Norman

    For next Wednesday and or Thursday

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/

    SPC Day 4-8 Discussion on the Weds/Thurs threat...

    DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
    0331 AM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

    VALID 211200Z - 261200Z

    ...DISCUSSION...
    EARLY IN THE MEDIUM-RANGE PERIOD BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN
    GENERAL AGREEMENT REGARDING THE MOVEMENT OF LOW-LATITUDE SHORT-WAVE
    TROUGH AS IT SHIFTS EAST OF THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
    25-35KT NW H5 FLOW ON BACK SIDE-BASE OF THIS FEATURE WILL ENHANCE
    DEEP-LAYER SHEAR COINCIDENT WITH MODEST INSTABILITY. STRONG HEATING
    WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY OF TX AND DAYTIME
    HEATING COULD PROVE INSTRUMENTAL IN A FEW SUPERCELLS IN THE WAKE OF
    SHORT WAVE. GIVEN THAT THIS ACTIVITY WOULD EVOLVE WITHIN A BROADER
    ZONE OF LESS THAN FAVORABLE LARGE-SCALE ASCENT...COVERAGE SHOULD BE
    INADEQUATE TO WARRANT 30 PERCENT SEVERE PROBS DURING THE DAY4
    PERIOD.

    LATER IN THE WEEK MODEL SOLUTIONS BEGIN TO DIVERGE A BIT AS
    LARGE-SCALE PATTERN CHANGES. ECMWF IS CONSIDERABLY FASTER THAN THE
    GFS ALLOWING A STRONG SHORT-WAVE TROUGH TO TRANSLATE INTO THE
    ROCKIES BY WEDNESDAY. DIFLUENT FLOW ALOFT AND STRENGTHENING SHEAR
    PROFILES WOULD PROVE POTENTIALLY FAVORABLE FOR A PLAINS SEVERE
    EVENT.

    HOWEVER...GFS DOES NOT EJECT THIS FEATURE UNTIL LATER
    THURSDAY. EITHER OF THESE SOLUTIONS COULD GENERATE A POTENTIALLY
    SIGNIFICANT SEVERE EVENT
    BUT TIMING DIFFERENCES PREVENT DELINEATING
    AN ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT THIS PERIOD.

  33. #283
    bushmaster06's Avatar
    Posts
    30,763
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
    Location
    balls deep

    Why can't they say tornado?

  34. #284
    IKILLYOU!'s Avatar
    Posts
    3,840
    Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Location
    On my horse N. of T-Town.

    I should do the weather, I would simply say " Grab your ****ing ass on Thursday folks, shit's goin' down!". How hard would that be?

  35. #285
    bushmaster06's Avatar
    Posts
    30,763
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
    Location
    balls deep

    Only if you wear a sparkly tie.

  36. #286
    Originally Posted by 87sooner View Post
    except last year.....when the last freeze was about may 6thish...
    Well, I planted my tomatoes today. Weather person in a gardening forum I visit, said he was planting his, soooo , I think its safe.

    When it comes to tomatoes, the earlier , the better. I want my plants producing before the hot weather of July shuts them down. There's a narrow window when its optimum for setting fruit, and the longer I can be in that window, the more tomatoes I get.

    Thinkin bout investing in row cover, so I can gamble and plant in early to mid March, and really get a jump on the production end.

  37. #287
    Originally Posted by Hermit View Post
    Well, I planted my tomatoes today. Weather person in a gardening forum I visit, said he was planting his, soooo , I think its safe.

    When it comes to tomatoes, the earlier , the better. I want my plants producing before the hot weather of July shuts them down. There's a narrow window when its optimum for setting fruit, and the longer I can be in that window, the more tomatoes I get.

    Thinkin bout investing in row cover, so I can gamble and plant in early to mid March, and really get a jump on the production end.


    Absolutely. I'm planting mine tomorrow.

  38. #288
    If anyone needs plants, I got leftovers. I grow mine from seed and I always grow twice as many as I can plant.

    I've got an heirloom variety , Brandywine. And hybrid varieties Big Beef and Early Girl. I also have two cherry varieties, Black Cherry and Sun Gold.

    I hate to just throw these away, so if anyone near far south OKC wants some plants ....... well, pm me.

  39. #289
    McRib's Avatar
    Posts
    40,169
    Join Date
    Oct 2011

    -__-

  40. #290
    bushmaster06's Avatar
    Posts
    30,763
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
    Location
    balls deep

    That looks like fun.
    The following users like this post: McRib


  41. #291
    McRib's Avatar
    Posts
    40,169
    Join Date
    Oct 2011

    Very ****-y.
    4 users like McRib's post: IndySooner, Julz, lauderdaleOU, veyron_80


  42. #292
    OU48A's Avatar
    Posts
    24,644
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Location
    Norman

    Western Oklahoma could see tornadoes on Wednesday.
    Saturday is looking like it could be an interesting weather day (perhaps very significant) for Oklahoma.
    It would be a good idea to pay attention..... its the peak tornado time of year.
    The following users like this post: SoonerBeerSnob


  43. #293
    Norman Music Fest is Saturday. **** a tornado
    2 users like soonerdm's post: McRib, OUMallen


  44. #294
    Originally Posted by soonerdm View Post
    Norman Music Fest is Saturday. **** a tornado
    Not sure about ****ing but I hear they suck pretty well.

  45. #295
    OU48A's Avatar
    Posts
    24,644
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Location
    Norman

    DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
    0345 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2014

    VALID 251200Z - 301200Z

    ...DISCUSSION...
    ...SIGNIFICANT MULTI-DAY SEVERE EVENT EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTH
    CENTRAL U.S. SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...STRONG TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE...


    22/00Z ECMWF IS EXHIBITING REASONABLE RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY OVER
    THE LAST FEW DAYS WITH THE GFS NOW TRENDING TOWARD ECMWF SOLUTIONS.
    THIS FORECAST IS HEAVILY WEIGHTED TOWARD THE ECMWF.

    EARLIER CONCERNS REGARDING A POLAR FRONT UNDERCUTTING STRONG SWLY
    FLOW ALOFT OVER THE SRN PLAINS ARE LESSENING. WHILE UPPER BLOCK
    OVER CNTRL CANADA WILL ULTIMATELY FORCE A DOMINANT SFC ANTICYCLONE
    INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE CONUS...IT APPEARS THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS
    AIR MASS SHOULD STRUGGLE TO ADVANCE MUCH SOUTH OF I-70 OVER KS/MO
    THIS WEEKEND.

    STRONG MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX IS FORECAST TO DIG SEWD INTO THE LOWER CO
    RIVER VALLEY SATURDAY WITH UPPER DIFLUENCE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
    PLAINS AS FAR SOUTH AS WEST TX AT 27/00Z. THIS EVOLUTION WILL ALLOW
    SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE TO ADVANCE POLEWARD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS WHERE
    PW VALUES SHOULD EASILY APPROACH 1.25 INCHES AS SFC DEW POINTS CLIMB
    THROUGH THE MID-UPPER 60S ACROSS A BROAD WARM SECTOR. LATEST
    THINKING IS MODERATE-EXTREME INSTABILITY SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG ERN
    PLUME OF STEEP LAPSE RATES FROM WCNTRL TX...NWD INTO SCNTRL KS
    SATURDAY WHERE MUCAPE COULD APPROACH 4000 J/KG. IF THERMODYNAMIC
    ENVIRONMENT EVOLVES AS LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THEN POTENTIALLY
    SIGNIFICANT SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES
    CAN BE EXPECTED. CONVECTION SHOULD INITIATE ALONG DRYLINE FROM SWRN
    TX...NWD INTO WRN KS SATURDAY THEN REDEVELOP AGAIN SUNDAY FROM SERN
    KS...SWD INTO CNTRL TX AS MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX EJECTS INTO THE SRN
    PLAINS. SEVERE TSTMS SHOULD SPREAD INTO THE MS VALLEY BY EARLY
    MONDAY. ORGANIZED SEVERE MAY CONTINUE INTO THE DAY7 PERIOD BUT
    SUBSTANTIAL CONVECTION DURING THE DAY5-6 TIME FRAME COULD
    POTENTIALLY DISRUPT THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT...THUS CONFIDENCE IS
    NOT AS HIGH.

    ..DARROW.. 04/22/2014


  46. #296
    lauderdaleOU's Avatar
    Posts
    5,062
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
    Location
    75214

    Where is SoonerAmongThePack? Dude always is on point
    The following users like this post: SoonerAmongThePack


  47. #297
    OU48A's Avatar
    Posts
    24,644
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Location
    Norman

    Originally Posted by lauderdaleOU View Post
    Where is SoonerAmongThePack? Dude always is on point
    Probably keeping his powder dry....But I have been wondering the same?

  48. #298
    SoonerAmongThePack's Avatar
    Posts
    6,101
    Join Date
    Jun 2011
    Location
    In The Clouds

    Originally Posted by OU48A View Post
    Probably keeping his powder dry....But I have been wondering the same?
    Work has been ridiculously busy for me lately. I'm writing this from a meeting in Boulder, Colorado. LOL!
    3 users like SoonerAmongThePack's post: lauderdaleOU, McRib, OU48A


  49. #299
    SoonerAmongThePack's Avatar
    Posts
    6,101
    Join Date
    Jun 2011
    Location
    In The Clouds

    Ok, high level view...

    Tomorrow: Supercells possible along the dryline in Western OK; hail is primary threat though a tornado can't be ruled out. Storms may congeal into line segements and push east toward the metro late in the evening. Nothing too out of the ordinary for springtime in Oklahoma.

    This weekend: WATCH OUT. Serious severe weather event is possible; major energy going to move out of the desert SW and out into the Plains. Localized severe weather outbreak certainly possible, anywhere from Salina southward into Central/Northern Texas.

    This event has been hinted at for a few weeks and bounced around. All the forecast models are in pretty good agreement about it; now it's just a matter of where and how widespread/severe.
    The following users like this post: OU48A


  50. #300
    SoonerAmongThePack's Avatar
    Posts
    6,101
    Join Date
    Jun 2011
    Location
    In The Clouds

    Glancing at the morning models, Saturday's risk may be more enhanced in Western Oklahoma, and Sunday closer to the metro. Expect the dryline to move out into Western Oklahoma during the afternoon Saturday, retreat, and then move back into the state on Sunday.

    So OKC/Central OK really both days, depending on where the dryline sets up. Higher risk for Tulsa on Sunday.
    2 users like SoonerAmongThePack's post: IndySooner, OU48A


Similar Threads

  1. Severe Weather - Oklahoma Edition
    By Bruno Gianelli in forum The Pub
    Replies: 7291
    Last Post: April 1st, 2014, 05:50 PM